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May 26 2014

The Golden Generation Revisited

TrumpHiggins copy

A little over three years ago, the UK Championship final was contested between John Higgins and Mark Williams, two of snooker’s ‘golden generation’ in a repeat of the final a decade previously. At the time, I was moved to consider what was a clear trend, of the average age of snooker players at the top of the game increasing compared to previous years.

Last season, we saw the likes of Gerard Greene and Mike Dunn achieve career-best runs in ranking tournaments, while Rod Lawler, Dominic Dale, Alan McManus and Fergal O’Brien all recorded notable achievements now into their forties.

That being the case, I decided to revisit my previous analysis, with the tour having undergone a series of significant changes in recent seasons to see whether the trend has continued…

The Statistics

As I did back in 2011, I have taken the top 64 in the rankings at the end of the 2013/14 season, to compare to my previous figures from 2000 and 2011.

In order to better illustrate not just the quantity of those in each bracket, but their respective performances, I have also colour coded the players, with top 16 players in red, 17-32 players orange and 33-64 ranked players in green.

So to begin, a reminder of how the top 64 looked back in 2000…

Top 64 by age as of February 2000:

 

16-20 (0)
21-25 (15)
26-30 (23)
31-35 (15)
36-40 (8)
41-45 (2)
46-50 (1)
             
John Higgins
Stephen Lee Stephen Hendry John Parrott
Steve Davis
Joe Johnson
Mark Williams
Ken Doherty Dave Harold Jimmy White Gary Wilkinson
Ronnie O’Sullivan
Alan McManus Tony Drago Alain Robidoux
Matthew Stevens
Anthony Hamilton Nigel Bond Paul Davies
Paul Hunter
Fergal O’Brien Darren Morgan Neal Foulds
Graeme Dott
Peter Ebdon Billy Snaddon Peter Lines
Quinten Hann
Mark King Brian Morgan Steve James
Jamie Burnett
Chris Small Joe Perry Dean Reynolds
Marco Fu
Dominic Dale Martin Clark
Lee Walker
James Wattana Euan Henderson
Matt Couch
Joe Swail Drew Henry
David Gray Terry Murphy Dave Finbow
Alfie Burden
Andy Hicks David Roe
Gary Ponting
Ian McCulloch Mick Price
Bradley Jones
Gerard Greene Jonathan Birch

Marcus Campbell

Jason Ferguson

Rod Lawler

Nick Walker

Paul Wykes

Jimmy Michie

Jason Prince

John Read

As is immediately apparently from a quick glance at the three lists, back in 2000 the main tour was significantly younger, with 38 of the world’s top 64 aged 30 or younger.

Not only were there more players in this age bracket, but there were also more higher ranked players, with 12 of the world’s top 16 yet to pass 30, including the likes of John Higgins, Mark Williams and Ronnie O’Sullivan, who of course would remain among the elite for many years to come.

DavisROS

This meant that there were just three players over 40 inside the top 64, something that is unthinkable now (see below), while there were just eight between 36-40, two of whom were ranked inside the top 16.

Top 64 by age as of February 2011:

 

16-20 (2)
21-25 (8)
26-30 (9)
31-35 (17)
36-40 (19)
41-45 (7)
46-50 (1)
51-55 (1)
Anthony McGill Ding Junhui
Neil Robertson
John Higgins
Peter Ebdon
Stephen Hendry
Jimmy White
Steve Davis
Jack Lisowski
Mark Allen
Mark Selby Mark Williams
Mark King
Ken Doherty
Jamie Cope
Stephen Maguire
Ronnie O’Sullivan Stephen Lee
Nigel Bond
Judd Trump
Shaun Murphy
Ali Carter
Mark Davis Tony Drago
Liang Wenbo
Ricky Walden
Graeme Dott
Gerard Greene
Peter Lines
Matt Selt
Ryan Day
Marco Fu
Joe Perry Dave Harold
Jamie Jones
Martin Gould Stuart Bingham Dominic Dale
Joe Swail
Jimmy Robertson
Tom Ford
Matthew Stevens
Marcus Campbell

Mark Joyce Andrew Higginson Rory McLeod

Barry Hawkins
Mike Dunn

Robert Milkins Fergal O’Brien
Jamie Burnett
Anthony Hamilton

Michael Holt Alan McManus

Alfie Burden
Barry Pinches

Joe Jogia
Andy Hicks

Stuart Pettman Adrian Gunnell

Bjorn Haneveer Rod Lawler

Ian McCulloch

Matt Couch

A decade on, with 19 players inside the top 64 aged 30 or under, remarkably the amount of players in that bracket had halved exactly.

This is primarily accounted for by an increase from 8 to 19 in the 36-40 bracket, while there were also an extra six in the over 40’s section.

WilliamsHiggins

In terms of ranking position, there were four fewer top 16 players aged 30 or younger, with a number of players who were there a decade previously such as Higgins and O’Sullivan, retaining their places.

Top 64 by age as of May 2014:

 

16-20 (1)
21-25 (6)
26-30 (17)
31-35 (11)
36-40 (14)
41-45 (12)
46-50 (2)
51-55 (1)
Luca Brecel
Judd Trump
Mark Selby
Neil Robertson
Ronnie O’Sullivan
Mark Davis
Nigel Bond
Jimmy White

Xiao Guodong
Ding Junhui
Barry Hawkins
Marco Fu
Dominic Dale
Dave Harold
Michael White
Mark Allen
Shaun Murphy
John Higgins
Peter Ebdon
Jack Lisowski
Liang Wenbo
Ricky Walden
Stuart Bingham
Alan McManus
Anthony McGill
Tom Ford
Ali Carter
Joe Perry
Fergal O’Brien
Cao Yupeng
Kurt Maflin
Stephen Maguire
Graeme Dott
Ken Doherty

Mark Joyce
Ryan Day
Mark Williams
Marcus Campbell

Ben Woollaston
Michael Holt
Matthew Stevens
Rod Lawler

Jamie Cope
Martin Gould
Robert Milkins
Anthony Hamilton

Matt Selt David Gilbert
Mark King
Rory McLeod

Aditya Mehta Dechawat Poomjaeng
Andrew Higginson
Mike Dunn
Yu Delu
Jamie Burnett
Peter Lines

Jimmy Robertson Gerard Greene

Jamie Jones
Alfie Burden

Pankaj Advani

Thepchaiya Un-Nooh

Robbie Williams

So how does the situation compare three years on, with the moves towards a prize money based rankings system and flat draws further altering the snooker landscape?

One of the most startling statistics is that the number of top 16 players aged 30 or under has halved since 2011, meaning that there are now just four, with Mark Selby set to turn 31 in a few weeks time.

This represents a complete turnaround from the position back in 2000, when there were 12 in that bracket and with the exception of Xiao Guodong, there is little sign of the trend being reversed in the short-term at least.

Interestingly however, there has been a notable jump in players aged between 26-30 in the lower half of the rankings during the past three years, the rise of players such as Aditya Mehta, Yu Delu and Robbie Williams amongst others showing that it is possible to make progress.

Mehta

Perhaps the most notable change compared to back in 2000 however, is that there are now 15 players over 40, compared to 9 in 2011 and just two in 2000. With a further 14 in the tier below, 10 of whom are still ranked inside the top 32, as Alan McManus said recently at the Crucible, there is still clearly a place for the ‘senior’ players at the top of the game.

As discussed during my previous article, there are a number of reasons for the trend, primarily the sheer quality and number of the ‘golden generation’ of players who turned professional together, during snooker’s boom period towards the end of the 1980’s and early 1990’s.

Of course they cannot go on forever, but the likes of Steve Davis and Jimmy White have shown what is possible by remaining on the tour in their fifties and it will be interesting to see 5-10 years from now whether there will be a shift back towards youth, or whether the current trend will continue.

DohertyDavis copy

Certainly in the short to medium-term, I generally would expect the current established players to remain at the top of the rankings, as indicated within my recent look at how the top eight might look in 2019.

But as demonstrated above, although the recent changes to the tour and event structures remain in their infancy, the significant increase of players in their mid to late 20’s is perhaps indicative of the increased opportunities to climb the rankings these days and time will tell as to whether these players will be able to push on further and into the top 16, 32 over the next couple of years.

The likes of Xiao Guodong, Aditya Mehta, Kyren Wilson, Robbie Williams and Joel Walker in particular impressed during last season, while the likes of Michael White, Luca Brecel and Jack Lisowski will be hoping to bounce back and put themselves back into contention.

And course course there are a number of promising amateurs in the game at present, Duane Jones, Oliver Brown, Rhys Clark, Eden Sharav and Shane Castle to name just a few, not to mention those in China such as Zhao Xintong, who will be hoping to turn professional and make a name for themselves in the future.

How do you think the tour will look in the future?

  • E JONES

    interesting to note the numbers between 16 and 30 have actually gone up from 19 to 24 in the last 3 years.

    but considerably lower than it was back in 2000 where over 50% of players were 30 or below.